Chris Sweet – Senior Fantasy Analyst: The Wagner Wire
Hey there Turkey Lovers. Your Sweet Fantasy is bringing you an extra column this week breaking down the 3 game slate on Thanksgiving because when you are eating until your pants don’t fit and drinking to drown out the in laws and crazy Uncle Roger why not throw in wagering a few dollars to really tie the Holiday together. This column is also special because if you scroll to the bottom there are 3 different freerolls from DraftKings, just click on each banner separately. So when you are thinking about what you are thankful for this season don’t forget The Wagner Wire.
12:30 PM Philadelphia -1 at Detroit O/U 45
This game features two of the cheapest QBs on the day. Matt Stafford is $5800 on DK and Sam Bradford and Mark Sanchez are $5300 and $5200 respectively. Either of the starters in this game are cheap gpp options but pretty risky for cash games. On the flipside either of these Defenses could be good plays, Eagles are more expensive at $3100 and the Lions are a great cost cutting option at $2200. If you’re looking for a Running Back from this game Demarco Murray is a decent play at $6100 and Darren Sproles is a good cheap play at $3600. If you are feeling real lucky maybe take a flyer on a Lions RB like Theo Riddick at $3500 or Ameer Abdullah at $3300. The best option at any position in this game and probably one of the highest owned players on the day is Calvin Johnson at $7200 with a great matchup as the Eagles are giving up the most Fantasy Points to Wide Receivers. Lance Moore is a nice low owned option for gpps at $3000. Jordan Matthews is $5800 and he’s only playable as a lottery ticket in gpps because he’s been awful. At TE in this game I love Brent Celek at $3200 who is coming off back to back big games and Zach Ertz is Doubtful. Eric Ebron’s donut last Sunday leaves a bad taste in my mouth but he is another cheap option at $3300.
4:30 PM Carolina at Dallas -1 O/U 45.5
This game is full of good options for DFS starting with the QBs. Both Cam Newton at $7100 and Tony Romo at $5800 should be good cash game plays even though they go up against Defenses that don’t allow a ton of Fantasy Points to QBs. I really expect Cam to use this game as a coming out party as the whole country will be watching….or passing out in front of the tv if you’re at my house. This game also features a great couple of cash game Running Backs. Jonathan Stewart is $5200 and Darren McFadden in $5500 and I expect both to be heavily owned for cash games as they are relatively cheap and have been reliable of late. The clear standout at WR is Dez Bryant at $7600 and he gets a tough matchup against Josh Norman but look for the Cowboys to find ways to get him open. If you are worried about Norman then consider Terrance Williams at $4200. Any Carolina wideout is a possible play but much more uncertain as to who will be targeted. Devin Funchess and Ted Ginn Jr. are $3900 and $3700 respectively. The top Tight End on the day is also in this game as Greg Olsen is $6200, at a little cheaper you can have Tony Romo’s roommate Jason Witten $4800 which is a play I really like. The Panthers D is the most expensive on the day at $3600 and Tony Romo is always a threat to throw a pick 6. The Cowboys D is the cheapest on the day at $2100 and a great way to afford all the stars you want.
8:30 PM Chicago at Green Bay -9 O/U 46.5
The Primetime game features the oldest rivalry in the NFL and also features the top QB play on the day in Aaron Rodgers $7400 going against a team he routinely kills. On the other side we have Jay Cutler $5100 which is a great gpp play, I’m avoiding him for cash because the Packers D has really started playing well the past few weeks. The Running Back plays here are hampered by uncertainty as both the Bears and Packers could have committees of sort in this game. For the Bears Matt Forte $6800 returns but should split carries with the impressive rookie Jeremy Langford $5300. For the Packers Eddie Lacy $4700 looks to regain the lead back role from James Starks $4800 after a 100 yard game against the Vikings. Lacy could be a very strong play on Thanksgiving. If Alshon Jeffery $6800 plays he is a strong option as he is getting all the targets in Chicago but if he doesn’t then Marquess Wilson $3900 becomes a great play. For the Packers Randall Cobb $6500 and James Jones $4600 are both in play for cash games. At Tight End if Martellus Bennett $4000 doesn’t play then Zach Miller $2900 could be a great option. Richard Rodgers $3100 is a good cheap option as well. The Packers D $3100 is not a bad play at all on this short slate. The Bears D $2000 is only a hail mary gpp play but the cheapest of the day.
There’s your breakdown of the Thanksgiving day games. You can enter the DraftKings free rolls below. Just follow the links and if you don’t have an account sign up through the following link.
Beginners Only Thanksgiving 5K Free Roll